Mexico’s most closely watched presidential poll shows President Claudia Sheinbaum’s approval rating has dipped for the sixth straight month — but remains well above 68%, with informal sector workers and housewives still firmly in her corner.
The monthly Mitofsky survey, conducted for the newspaper El Economista by polling nearly 60,000 Mexicans with smartphones and internet access, put Sheinbaum’s March approval at 68.4%. That’s down from 69.1% in February and roughly 3 points below her peak of 71.6% recorded last September, which was the highest approval rating for a Mexican president at the one-year mark in decades, according to earlier Mitofsky data.
March 31 marked the one-quarter point of Sheinbaum’s six-year term — a milestone Mitofsky noted in its analysis released this week.
A Bumpy Month
The month wasn’t easy. Sheinbaum faced the initial rejection of an electoral reform bill she had submitted to lawmakers, persistent inflation, a slowing economy, and a Gulf of Mexico oil spill that the government initially denied was Pemex’s fault. State oil company Pemex did not formally acknowledge responsibility for the spill until April 16.
A separate poll by Brazilian firm AtlasIntel, conducted in late March, found considerably lower support — 53.9% — though Mitofsky’s larger sample size and longer track record make it the more frequently cited benchmark.
Who Still Backs Her
Under-the-table workers — a massive segment of Mexico’s workforce — gave Sheinbaum her strongest numbers, at 76.4% approval. Homemakers and pensioners followed at 75.9% and 72.5%, respectively. The business sector showed the lowest support at 56.1%, though that figure actually rose 4.6 points from February’s 51.5%.
On party lines, the numbers hold few surprises. Members of Sheinbaum’s own Morena party gave her a 96% approval rating. Supporters of the center-right National Action Party (PAN) came in at 71%, down from 74% the month before. Those aligned with the formerly dominant Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) registered 53% support, down from 57%, while members of the center-left Citizens Movement (MC) gave her just 43%.
Among those who voted for Sheinbaum in the 2024 election, 94% still approve. Notably, 34% of people who did not vote for her now say they support her performance.
What Worries Mexicans
Security remains the dominant concern: 48.2% of those surveyed named it their top issue. Economic matters came second at 24.1%, followed by health care at 12.3%.
At a Glance
- Overall approval (March): 68.4%
- Peak approval (September 2025): 71.6%
- Survey conducted by: Mitofsky for El Economista
- Sample size: Nearly 60,000 adults with smartphone/internet access
- Highest approval group: Informal sector workers (76.4%)
- Lowest approval group: Business sector (56.1%)
- Top concern among respondents: Security (48.2%)
For broader context on Sheinbaum’s trajectory since taking office, see AS/COA’s approval tracker.
Source: El Economista / Mitofsky